This study investigates the effects of fake news on stock returns of targeted firms. Fake news is information which is presented as true but which is in fact fabricated and meant to mislead readers. On the basis of disagreement models, we argue that the fact that some investors might not be able to discern whether a piece of news is true or fabricated can cause disagreement among investors on the true value of the firm. This will cause the stock prices of targeted firms to respond to the fake news, even if its informational content is non-existent. Using event study methodology and OLS regressions, we analyse a sample of fake news initiated by outsiders and announced in the US and Europe during the period 2007–2019. We find that negative false news items have negative and significant short-term effects on returns, while positive and neutral news items do not have a clear impact on stock returns. Moreover, we find no significant difference between traditional media outlets and social media. Our results thus provide new evidence on the information-based manipulations of financial markets.

Does fake news impact stock returns? Evidence from US and EU stock markets

Russo I.
Ultimo
2023

Abstract

This study investigates the effects of fake news on stock returns of targeted firms. Fake news is information which is presented as true but which is in fact fabricated and meant to mislead readers. On the basis of disagreement models, we argue that the fact that some investors might not be able to discern whether a piece of news is true or fabricated can cause disagreement among investors on the true value of the firm. This will cause the stock prices of targeted firms to respond to the fake news, even if its informational content is non-existent. Using event study methodology and OLS regressions, we analyse a sample of fake news initiated by outsiders and announced in the US and Europe during the period 2007–2019. We find that negative false news items have negative and significant short-term effects on returns, while positive and neutral news items do not have a clear impact on stock returns. Moreover, we find no significant difference between traditional media outlets and social media. Our results thus provide new evidence on the information-based manipulations of financial markets.
2023
Arcuri, M. C.; Gandolfi, G.; Russo, I.
File in questo prodotto:
File Dimensione Formato  
1-s2.0-S0148619523000231-main.pdf

accesso aperto

Descrizione: Full text editoriale
Tipologia: Full text (versione editoriale)
Licenza: Creative commons
Dimensione 867.37 kB
Formato Adobe PDF
867.37 kB Adobe PDF Visualizza/Apri

I documenti in SFERA sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.

Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11392/2531771
Citazioni
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.pmc??? ND
  • Scopus 10
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.isi??? 4
social impact