Risk Management and Future Scenarios. A proposal based on a mixed-method approach

The rapid changes in society and the risks related to disastrous and unexpected events increasingly represent a challenge to scientists. The aim of this paper is to provide a comprehensive framework to effectively manage emerging and future risks by incorporating the strategic foresight approach, which starts from a future scenario planning method and includes quali-quantitative tools, in a consequential chain of techniques, where the output of one step is the input of the next. The framework is based on a six-step future risk management process, including assessment (comprising identification, analysis and evaluation), treatment and communication. A research project on future scenarios for contemporary families will serve as a representative example of this framework.