In this paper we investigate the comovements between the R&D share of total investment and GDP growth in different EU areas over the period 1999-2014. Our empirical analysis shows that only core countries display a common countercyclical mechanism leading to an increased share of R&D over prolonged downturns. The lack of any countercyclical pattern of R&D share over the evolution of GDP growth in periphery countries makes this area highly vulnerable to persistent recessions, with potentially harmful consequences for longer term growth. For recent EU members the evidence of R&D share procyclicality should be evaluated in the light of the catching-up process still at work in this area. Our analysis suggests that any successful EU innovation policy should not disregard the potential divergence in R&D performance due to the dispersion of the countercyclical properties of the share of productivity enhancing activities in the different EU areas.

R&D intensity of investment across Europe before and after the crisis

Censolo, Roberto
Primo
;
Colombo, Caterina
Secondo
2019

Abstract

In this paper we investigate the comovements between the R&D share of total investment and GDP growth in different EU areas over the period 1999-2014. Our empirical analysis shows that only core countries display a common countercyclical mechanism leading to an increased share of R&D over prolonged downturns. The lack of any countercyclical pattern of R&D share over the evolution of GDP growth in periphery countries makes this area highly vulnerable to persistent recessions, with potentially harmful consequences for longer term growth. For recent EU members the evidence of R&D share procyclicality should be evaluated in the light of the catching-up process still at work in this area. Our analysis suggests that any successful EU innovation policy should not disregard the potential divergence in R&D performance due to the dispersion of the countercyclical properties of the share of productivity enhancing activities in the different EU areas.
2019
Censolo, Roberto; Colombo, Caterina
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