This paper presents an assessment of the current biomass energy potential in Colombia including a detailed literature review, a discussion of the assessment methodology, a section of results and an uncertainty analysis. The results of a thorough literature review suggest that despite various assessments being available there is a lack of studies estimating coherently the entire energy potential of all biomass categories relevant to Colombia, namely agricultural residues, animal waste, forestry and wood industry, biofuels and urban waste. Although similar approaches were used across studies, inconsistencies in methodologies, assumptions and statistics were found. This led to large differences in results. Therefore, the aim of this paper is to present a consistent methodology to estimate the entire energy potential of all biomass categories relevant to Colombia and to harmonize approaches and assumptions to allow a meaningful comparison to existing assessment studies. Additionally, the reliability of the predictions is estimated and the sources of uncertainty are identified. Results predict a theoretical energy potential of 0.84 EJ and a maximum technical potential of 0.16 EJ in 2010, which might account for 3.2% of the annual primary energy production (4.93 EJ).
METHODOLOGY FOR BIOMASS ENERGY POTENTIAL ESTIMATION: ASSESSMENT OF CURRENT POTENTIAL IN COLOMBIA
GONZALEZ SALAZAR, Miguel Angel;MORINI, Mirko;PINELLI, Michele;SPINA, Pier Ruggero;VENTURINI, Mauro;
2013
Abstract
This paper presents an assessment of the current biomass energy potential in Colombia including a detailed literature review, a discussion of the assessment methodology, a section of results and an uncertainty analysis. The results of a thorough literature review suggest that despite various assessments being available there is a lack of studies estimating coherently the entire energy potential of all biomass categories relevant to Colombia, namely agricultural residues, animal waste, forestry and wood industry, biofuels and urban waste. Although similar approaches were used across studies, inconsistencies in methodologies, assumptions and statistics were found. This led to large differences in results. Therefore, the aim of this paper is to present a consistent methodology to estimate the entire energy potential of all biomass categories relevant to Colombia and to harmonize approaches and assumptions to allow a meaningful comparison to existing assessment studies. Additionally, the reliability of the predictions is estimated and the sources of uncertainty are identified. Results predict a theoretical energy potential of 0.84 EJ and a maximum technical potential of 0.16 EJ in 2010, which might account for 3.2% of the annual primary energy production (4.93 EJ).I documenti in SFERA sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.
